Space Weather Workshop:
Looking towards a European Space
Weather Programme
17-19 December 2001
ESTEC, Noordwijk, The Netherlands
Introduction  The term "Space weather" refers to
conditions on the Sun and in the solar wind, magnetosphere, ionosphere
and thermosphere that affect the performance and the reliability of technological
systems on Earth and in space. In addition, these conditions may affect
human life or health.
In the light of recently completed
ESA studies conducted by Alcatel Space and Rutherford Appleton Laboratories,
this workshop aims to provide a forum in which both recent scientific and
technical advances relating to Space Weather can be presented and discussed.
In addition, the workshop will focus on the implementation of a European
Space Weather programme. Future ESA Space Weather activities and possibilities
for international collaboration will also feature prominently in the discussion.
A European Space Weather programme would provide the capacity to supply
European based Space Weather services to a wide variety of users including:
- Spacecraft industry;
-
Users and providers of positioning systems;
-
Scientific community.
-
Airline companies;
-
Oil and mineral industries;
-
Electric power industry;
-
Insurers;
-
Telecommunications companies;
-
Educational sector (establishment school,
media, etc.)
-
Security Forces
Contributions from users in all of the
above areas are welcomed in oral or poster format. The results of this
workshop will represent a very important element in deciding on the way
forward for any European Space Weather Programme.
Preliminary Agenda 
17th December |
| 09:00 |
SWWT Meeting (Closed) |
| 13:00 |
Lunch/Registration |
| Introduction |
| 14:00 |
Welcome Speech
G. Winters |
| 14:10 |
Introduction From Chairman of the SWWT
R. Gendrin |
| 14:20 |
Overview of the Alcatel Space-LPCE Consortium Study
B. Huet |
| 14:35 |
RAL Consortium Study for an ESA Space Weather Programme
M. Hapgood |
| Session1: Scientific Understanding: Recent Achievements |
| 14:50 |
The Magnetic Precursors of Solar Activity
B. Schmieder, L. van Driel, S. Poedts |
| 15:05 |
Interplanetary Aspects of Space Weather
R. Marsden |
| 15:20 |
Cluster and Space Weather
P. Escoubet |
| 15:35 |
Review of Ionospheric and Thermospheric Processes Relating to Space Weather
J. Lilensten |
| 15:50 |
Poster Presentations: 9x2 minutes |
| 16:10 - 16:40 |
Coffee & Poster Viewing |
| Session 2: Technological Effects |
| 16:40 |
A Review of the Effects of Space Weather on Ground Based Technology
T. D. G. Clark |
| 16:55 |
Space Weather Effects in the Ionosphere and their Impact on Positioning
N. Jakowski, A. Wehrenpfennig, S. Heise, S. Schluter, T. Noack |
| 17:10 |
Space Weather Effects on Spacecraft and Aircraft
C. Dyer |
| 17:25 |
Solar Variability and Climate Change
E. Friis-Christensen |
| 17:40 |
Poster Presentations: 11x2 minutes |
| 18:00 |
Welcome Drink in the ISS User Centre |
18th December |
| Session 3: Requirements for a European Space Weather Service |
| 09:00 |
Rationale and Requirements for a European Space Weather Service
D. J. Rodgers & R. Horne |
| 10:00 |
The Practical Issues of Utilising a European Space Weather Programme for Airline Operations
J. B. L. Jones, R. D. Bentley, R. Hunter, R. H. A. Iles, G. C. Taylor, D. J. Thomas |
| 10:15 |
Poster Presentations: 3x2 minutes |
| 10:25 - 11:00 |
Coffee & Poster Viewing |
| Session 4: Modelling of the Space Weather Environment |
| 11:00 |
Numerical modelling capabilites from the point of view of a Space Weather forecast facility
P.-L. Blelly & J. Lilensten |
| 11:15 |
Forecasting Space Weather and Effects using Knowledge Based Neurocomputing
H. Lundstedt, P. Wintoft, T. Hasanov, F. Boberg, H. Gleisner, I. Kronfeldt |
| 11:30 |
Perspective on Remote Access to Space Environment Models and Databases
M. Kruglanski, E. Speelman, D. Heynderickx |
| 11:45 |
The Performance of Three Widely Used Numerical Models in Predicting the Arrival Times at L1 of Major Flare/Halo CME Associated Travelling Shocks
S. M. P. McKenna-Lawlor, M. Dryer, Z. Smith, K. Kecskemety, C. D. Fry, W. Sun, C. S. Deehr, D. Berdichevsky, K. Kudela, G. Zastenker |
| 12:00 |
CME Shock Collisions and Magnetic Cloud Impact
S. Poedts, B. van der Holst, L. van Driel |
| 12:15 |
Initial Results on Ionosphere/Plasmasphere Sounding Based on GPS Data Obtained Onboard CHAMP
S. Heise, N. Jakowski, A. Wehrenpfennig, Ch. Reigber, H. Luhr |
| 12:30 |
Improved Predictions of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity with Application to ESA/LEO Satellite Operations
A. Thompson, T. D. G. Clark, E.Clarke |
| 12:45 |
Poster Presentations: 9x2 minutes |
| 13:05 - 14:00 |
Lunch |
| Session 5: Future European Space and Ground Segment Options |
| 14:00 |
RAL Space & Ground Segment Presentation
M. A. Hapgood |
| 14:45 |
Alcatel Space & Ground Segment Presentation
B. Huet (TBC) |
| 15:30 |
CDF Overview
R. Biesbroek |
| 15:55 - 16:15 |
Coffee & Posters |
| Session 6: Space Weather Infrastructures (I) |
| 16:15 |
LUND Space Weather Centre
H. Lundstedt |
| 16:25 |
Space Weather Effects and How SOHO has Improved the Warnings
P. Brekke |
| 16:35 |
INTAS: Space Weather Parameter Definition
N. Crosby |
| 16:45 |
Space Environment Database
R. Stamper, M. Hapgood |
| 17:55 |
Analysis and Prediction of Satellite Anomalies
P. Wintoft, H. Lundstedt, L. Eliasson, L. Kalla |
| 17:05 |
Space Weather Studies for the Satellite Insurance Industry
A. J. Coates, N. B. C. Crosby, D. R. Linder, D. O. Kataria |
| 17:15 |
CLS: Collecte Localisation Satellites
A. Blusson |
| 17:25 |
SuperDARN
J.-P. Villain |
| 17:35 |
Poster Presentations: 8x2 minutes & viewing |
| 18:00 |
Workshop social evening |
19th December |
| Session 7: Space Weather Infrastructures (II) |
| 09:00 |
Interagency and International Collaboration in the U. S. National Space Weather Program: A NOAA Space Envoronment Center Perspective
R. Zwickl, E. Hildner |
| 09:15 |
Space Weather Activities at the NOAA Space Environment Center and the International Space Environment Service (ISES)
J. M. Kunches |
| 09:30 |
The Role of the Space Environment Testbed in NASA's Living with a Star Programme
J. L. Barth, D. A. Brewer, K. A. Label |
| 09:45 |
The Community Coordinated Modelling Center: A New Space Weather Initiative
M. Hesse |
| 10:00 |
Space Weather Support Needs for Manned Space Missions
M. Golightly |
| 10:15 |
INTERMAGNET: Worldwide Near Realtime Geomagnetic Observatory Data
D. J. Kerridge |
| 10:30 |
Space Weather Activity at CRL, Japan
M. Akioka & all staff at CRL. |
| 10:45 |
Solar Terrestrial Research and Space Weather Activities in Greece
A. Anastasiadis, I. A. Daglis |
| 11:00 |
National Initiatives: CNES Activities on Space Weather Correlative Issues
R. Ecoffet & S. Barde |
| 11:15 |
The Solar Influences Data Analysis Centre
D. Berghmans, F. Clette, P. Cugnon, C. Foullon, J.-F. Hochedez, R. van der Linden, E. Verwichte, A. Zhukov |
| 11:30 - 11:45 |
Coffee & Posters |
| 12:00 |
Open discussion session to include
..Economic Issues
..Future Plans |
| 13:00 |
Workshop close |
| 13:00 - 14:00 |
Lunch |
| 14:00 - 17:00 |
ESA Strategy Meeting (Closed) |
POSTER PRESENTATIONS 
Poster
dimensions are 1.8m high x 1.2m wide
Session1: Scientific Understanding
- On the Importance of Magnetic
Helicity in the CME Initiation Process
L. van Driel-Gesztelyi, Pascal
Demoulin, Christina Mandrini, Lucie Green, Marcelo Lopez-Fuentez
- Possible Diagnostics of fast Magnetic
Field Variations Associated with Flares
V. V. Zharkova & A. G.
Kosovichev
- Solar Energetic Particle Events:
Phenomenology and Prediction
S. B. Gabriel & G. Patrick
- Proton Flux Enhancement E>10MeV and
Solar Wind Parameters
E. del Pozo Garcia
- Evolution of Geoeffective Disturbances
in Interplanetary Space
E. Romashets
- Radio Scintillation Observations
of the Solar Wind - Recent Results and Proposals for a new-Generation System
A. R. Breen & G. Woan
- Magnetospheric Disturbances Impact
on the Ionospheric Daily FoF2 Frequencies
H. Rothkaehl, I. Stanislawska,
Z. Zbyszynski
- Total Electron Content Obtained with
the Use of Selected GPS Satellites
A. Swiatek & I. Stanislawska
- Real Time Ionospheric Tomography
using GPS Dense Network
V. Ducic, J. Artru, P. Lognonne
Session2: Technological Effects
- A Review of Scintillations Events
and Probabilities as Observed from Measurements for Satellite to Earth
Radio Links
Y. Beniguel
- Satellite Vulnerability to Geomagnetic
Storms
R. B. Horne, M. P. Freeman,
D. Riley, M. Daws & K. Rutten
- Observations of the Dynamics of the
Radiation Environment and Associated component Effects on Polar Orbit in
the period 11/2000-11/2001
S. Barde, D. Falguere, S.
Duzellier, D. Boscher, S. Bourdarie, J. Cueto, R. Ecoffet
- XMM Radiation Monitor
H. D. R. Evans, E. J. Daly,
C. Erd, M. Boer
- GPS Based Ionospheric Scintillation
Monitoring
M. Aquino, S. Waugh, T. Moore,
A. Dodson
- The Effects of Space Weather on Radio
Systems
P. Cannon
- HF Radio Propagation at high Latitudes:
Observations and Predictions for Quiet and Disturbed Conditions
B. Jacobsen, V. Jodalen, P.
S. Cannon, O. Smith, M. J. Angling
- Effects of Disturbed Space Weather
on HF Radio Communication
D. Blagoveshchensky
- Investigation of the Variations in
Cosmic Radiation at Aircraft Altitudes
R. H. A. Iles, R. D. Bentley,
R. Hunter, J. B. L. Jones, G. C. Taylor, D. J. Thomas
- Space Weather and Radiation Exposure
Analysis at Aircraft Altitudes
D. O'Sullivan, D. Bartlett,
P. Beck, J.-F. Bottollier, F. d'Errico, L. Lindborg, H. Schraube,
M. Silari, W. Heinrich, M. Pellicciono, H. Roos, F.
Spurny, L. Tommasino, F. Wissmann
- Space Weather Services for the Offshore
Drilling Industry
T. D. G. Clark & E. Clarke
- Monitoring Geomagnetically Induced
Currents in the Scottish Power Grid
A. Thompson, T. D. G. Clark,
E. Clarke
Session3: Requirements
- Using GNSS reflections for Ionospheric
Studies
G. Ruffini, F. Soulat, P.
Silvestrin, M. Martin-Neira
- A New Method for TEC Forecasting
using GPS Measurements
S. M. Stankov, I. S. Kutiev,
N. Jakowski, A. Wehrenpfennig
- Real Time Monitoring of Global Magnetic
Activity: The Ap(est) Index
E. Clarke
Session4: Modelling the Space Environment
- 14-Day Forecast of Solar Indices
using Interplanetary Lyman Alpha Background Data
E. Quemerais & J.-L. Bertaux
- An Operational Code for Solar Energetic
Proton Flux Prediction. First Approach
A. Aran, B. Sanahuja, D. Lario,
V. Domingo
- Proton Flux Variation with Heliocentric
distance
H. D. R. Evans, E. J. Daly,
A. Hilgers, P. Nieminen
- Modeling the Radiation Belt Environment
D. Boscher, S. Bourdarie,
A. Masclet, S. Barde, R. Friedel
- Non-linear Prediction of the Relativistic
Electron Fluence in the Outer Radiation Belt
S. N. Clucas, D. J. Rodgers,
C. S. Dyer, R. J. K. Smith
- Nowcasting the Geosynchronous orbit
for Spacecraft Anomalies Analysis
S. Bourdarie, D. Boscher,
J. P. Catani, R. Friedel
- NARMAX based forecast of Dst
index
Balikhin M., S. A. Billings,
O. M. Boaghe, I. Bates
- Application of the Ionosphere - Plasmasphere
Model for Short-term forecasting of Total Electron Content
T. Gulyaeva
- Modeling the Electrojet over Northern
Europe during Large Geomagnetic Storms
P. Stauning
- Scientists' Thoughts about the Forecasting
Problem of Geomagnetically Induced Currents
A. Viljanen, R. Pirjola, A.
Pulkinnen
Sessions 6&7: Space Weather Infrastructures
The following posters are presented
in parallel with oral presentations
- LUND Space Weather Centre
H. Lundstedt
- The Solar Influences Data Analysis
Centre (SIDC)
D. Berghmans, F. Clette, P.
Cugnon, C. Foullon, J.-F. Hochedez, R. van der Linden, E. Verwichte, A.
Zhukov
- INTAS: Space Weather Parameter Definition
N. Crosby
- Space Environment Database
R. Stamper, M. Hapgood
- Analysis and Prediction of Satellite
Anomalies
P. Wintoft, H. Lundstedt,
L. Eliasson, L. Kalla
- Space Weather Studies for the Satellite
Insurance Industry
A. J. Coates, N. B. C. Crosby,
D. R. Linder, D. O. Kataria
- CLS: Collecte Localisation Satellites
A. Blusson
- Geomagnetic Indices Availability
M. Menvielle, J. Paris
Poster presentations
- Space Weather Activities in Cost 271
Action
B. Zolesi & Lj. R. Cander
- A Proposal for a COST Action on Space
Weather
Toby Clark
- The Central-European Space Weather
Initiative (CESWI)
M. Messerotti
- Operational Processing of Space Weather
Data
A. Wehrenpfennig, N. Jakowski,
D. Klahn
- Program of Solar Observations and
Flare Warning at Catania Astrophysical Observatory
P. Romano, L. Contarino, F.
Zuccarello
- The Trieste Solar Radio System as
a Near Real-Time Monitor of Coronal Radio Emission
M. Messerotti & P. Zlobec
- The Trieste-Graz Solar Surveillance
Network: Progress Report 2001
M. Messerotti, W. Otruba,
W. Poetzi, A. Hanslmeier, G. Brunner, M. Temmer, A. Veronig, A. Warmuth, A.
Cacciani, P. F. Moretti
- Muon Detectors - Real Time forecast
of Geomagnetic Storms
F. Jansen, K. Munataka, M.
L. Duldig
Content  Potential meeting participants are
invited to contact Alexi Glover,
Alain
Hilgers or Eamonn Daly by
email in order to discuss their possible contribution to the workshop.
Registration  Participation in the meeting is free
of charge, but registration should be done in advance and preferably before
16 November. Please complete the Registration Form
and send it to the indicated address. Contributions should be sent to
Alexi Glover (alexi.glover@esa.int) specifying your name, affiliation,
and an abstract of your contribution prior to 19th October.
Abstract Submission
Abstracts should be 600-800 words
in length, incorporating the following information:
-
Title of paper
-
Name and affiliation of author(s)
-
Addresses, e-mail, telephone and fax
numbers
-
Name of the prime author or contact person
-
Summary of the paper
Abstracts should be submitted to Alexi
Glover by 19th October 2001.
Presentations making use of computer
facilities are encouraged.
Publication  Presenters are required to make presentation
material available for a conference web site. Proceedings will be
made available on the ESA Space Weather
web site, as well as in printed form.
New:
style guide can be found here
Accommodation  Rooms have been blocked in various
hotels in Noordwijk in different categories.
Please book your hotel room by using
the Hotel Reservation Form and return it before
the 16th of November to the ESTEC Hotel Reservation Service. Confirmation
of your reservation will be sent to you by fax.
Organising
Committee  R. Gendrin (Chairman)
A. Glover (Coordinator)
A. Hilgers
E. Daly
Contact for ESTEC administrative matters 
ESTEC Conference Bureau
P.O. Box 299
2200 AG Noordwijk
The Netherlands
Fax: +31 (0)71-565 5658
e-mail: confburo@estec.esa.nl
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