Introductory talk #1:

K. Marubashi
Introduction to the International Space Environmental Service: Operational forecasting activities

Open discussion focussing on:

• What are the user requirements in terms of nowcasting and forecasting in the various domains:
• Space and Aircraft;
• Atmosphere and Ionosphere;
• Ground Systems

Introductory Talk #2:

B. Zolesi
Recent and planned COST actions: major achievements and results on ionospheric physics and radio-propagation for space weather purposes

Open discussion focussing on:

• What is the state of the art in ionospheric and atmospheric effects forecasting and now-casting and well can user requirements be satisfied?

Introductory Talk #3:

D. Heynderickx
Forecasting radiation belt conditions by means of dynamical trapped particle models

Open Discussion focussing on:

• What is the state of the art in forecasting the effects of solar/heliospheric/magnetospheric events and how far away from a true service are we?

Open Discussion and Conclusions, including:

• How good are the available systems, including:
• Data resources
• Simulation and prediction tools
• In what areas are developments needed?
• What lessons can be learned from nowcasting/forecasting experience?

For the most part, e.g. solar proton flares, X-ray bursts, we have to live with the situation, therefore, for us, the emphasis will always be on designing for immunity to space weather rather than avoiding it.

We look to space weather forecasters to tell us what the environment will be over the long-term, and define what the extremes will be, both spatial and temporal, so that we can design satellites to operate within those boundaries without problems.

Most discussions about Space Weather tend to focus on and not extend beyond the aspects of specifying the Space Weather Environmental Conditions. The users of our forecast systems however need to have an assessment of Impact to their facilities and operations. This means that successful applications of Space Weather forecasting technologies has to extend beyond just assessing the environment but also efforts to do detailed models of how that environment impacts the clients systems in a way that the clients can readily understand. Our space weather forecasting services takes into consideration the principal concerns of estimating the impact of Space Weather upon their facilities and operations.

KIRUNA

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